Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 3.616964 4.330053 5.126340 6.078439 7.182705 8.419857 9.907406
2025-05-25 2.481720 3.356951 4.439221 5.863754 7.675757 9.888767 12.779240
2025-06-01 1.871531 2.808575 4.070585 5.867473 8.328012 11.542629 16.016056
2025-06-08 1.478226 2.430575 3.811910 5.914700 8.976890 13.204871 19.397335
2025-06-15 1.182264 2.113844 3.558934 5.893705 9.481939 14.678092 22.627388
2025-06-22 0.908898 1.764706 3.181840 5.605606 9.524580 15.456749 24.902607
2025-06-29 0.747206 1.563183 2.995699 5.571956 9.925513 16.771194 28.049069
2025-07-06 0.619707 1.392791 2.827527 5.532136 10.293245 18.045343 31.217168
2025-07-13 0.566975 1.353538 2.882471 5.878591 11.331421 20.463116 36.367722
2025-07-20 0.502910 1.276511 2.852012 6.060930 12.095981 22.484664 41.018703
2025-07-27 0.459823 1.234895 2.881965 6.355646 13.083340 24.950632 46.576170
2025-08-03 0.396504 1.132786 2.771393 6.359200 13.528806 26.506478 50.688287
2025-08-10 0.323204 0.990901 2.556466 6.130882 13.525260 27.294445 53.581825
2025-08-17 0.258747 0.854113 2.327541 5.838737 13.361250 27.773010 55.961257
2025-08-24 0.221539 0.780562 2.230834 5.816936 13.733418 29.270061 60.284716
2025-08-31 0.193118 0.724330 2.165534 5.855125 14.230419 31.038238 65.226048
2025-09-07 0.166080 0.664379 2.079437 5.831389 14.589478 32.559837 69.797462
2025-09-14 0.133100 0.574427 1.896130 5.545029 14.338547 32.841143 71.992726
2025-09-21 0.114360 0.526866 1.819434 5.511380 14.648609 34.279390 76.541302
2025-09-28 0.098208 0.483170 1.744960 5.471834 14.938580 35.693320 81.126591
2025-10-05 0.094435 0.486306 1.811167 5.814939 16.166129 39.172202 90.101839
2025-10-12 0.086705 0.470952 1.817529 5.995530 17.017463 41.898593 97.684873
2025-10-19 0.082136 0.467638 1.861756 6.287450 18.168376 45.350328 106.964512